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Expectations

Part III : Defections and Attrition 

Success in college athletics is not determined solely by wins and losses, but rather by meeting and exceeding the expectations regarding those wins and losses.  Win some one year, and expectations are raised for the next.  This is the backbone of the argument against Ben Braun.

Very little was expected of his first team in 1996; they were picked to finish 8th in the Pac-10.  However, Braun surprised everyone by guiding them to the Sweet 16, and was rightly lauded for his brilliant coaching effort.  However, that season is still the high-water mark of his tenure, and the raised expectations of annual NCAA tournament entries and competing for conference championships have not been met.  Braun is still the same coach he always was, but by now, we expect more.

Expectations have also been fueled by outside forces.  Jason Kidd put the program on the national map, and the excitement surrounding the program got Haas Pavilion built.  Jeff Tedford has turned a BCS doormat into a BCS powerhouse in a few short years, and he’ll eventually get a new stadium built as well.  While Braun’s work would have been praised at Cal 20 years ago, today restless alumni are asking, ‘If the football team can succeed with lesser facilities at Cal, why can’t we have a nationally-ranked basketball team too?’  That’s a darn good question.

Are the expectations surrounding this basketball program realistic?  Is a conference championship too much to ask at a school that hasn’t won one since 1960?  How about regular appearances in the NCAA tournament?  The facilities are first-class, and the school’s setting and academics should only help attract potential recruits.  What is Cal lacking that other Pac-10 schools have?  Should it always rank behind UCLA and Arizona on the west coast?

Like it or not, the expectations at major-conference basketball schools are astronomically high.  There is no place among the top conferences for coaches who are merely ‘good’.  Those coaches area shown the door when their performace stagnates.  Take a downtrodden program and make it respectable?  Genius!  Now let’s see you turn it into a powerhouse.

Here is a current list of all of the men’s basketball coaches at BCS conference schools that have been at one school at least as long as Ben Braun has (11 years).  It’s a pretty short list.  Which names don’t belong?

Current Coaches at Same BCS-Conference School Since 1996
Jim Boeheim (Syracuse, since 1976)
Mike Krzyzewski (Duke, since 1980)
Lute Olson (Arizona, since 1983)
Jim Calhoun (Connecticut, since 1986)
Gary Williams (Maryland, since 1989)
Ben Braun (California, since 1996)
Ricardo Patton (Colorado, since 1996)
Billy Donovan (Florida, since 1996)
Tom Izzo (Michigan State, since 1996)

My first question was, ‘Who’s Ricardo Patton?’  Well, he’s a barely .500 coach, and he’s already resigned, effective at the end of this season.  Remove him, and you’re left with Braun and 7 other coaches, all of the rest of whom have won National Championships.  Not just conference championships and Final Four appearances, but the whole enchilada.  College basketball’s a ‘win or go home’ world, and most coaches end up going home.  By this measure, Cal’s patience with Braun has been quite lenient.

What do these sorts of expectations say about big-time college athletics?  Win at all costs?  If you don’t win, it doesn’t matter how well you do anything else?  Are these values held by the Universities that support such a system?  Do we fire physics professors because they fail to win a Nobel Prize?  Not that college basketball fans pay attention to such arguments, but something seems out of whack here.

Finally, I’d like to point out an article from October of 1997, a thank-you letter from an Old Blue, written at the height of Braun’s popularity.  Cal had just been to the Sweet 16, and Braun turned down Michigan to instead sign an 8-year contract extension.  The author makes some good points, and while he probably overstates his case, it’s hard to even imagine someone saying these things about Ben Braun now.  While Braun hasn’t been everything we hoped, for everything he has done, do we perhaps owe him one last chance?  Sandy Barbour seems to think so.

Also, if you didn’t read the whole article, I’d like to quote the second to last paragraph.  It’s a perfect example of the value of hindsight.

"Braun, Lavin, Montgomery. Maybe even Bibby. A generation of Pac 10 coaches with some staying power, some sincerity, a bit of integrity."

Part V : Comparisons and Conclusion 

POSTED BY ragnarok ON 03.08.07 @ 3:40 pm |

2 Comments »

The URI to TrackBack this entry is: http://goldenblogs.blogsome.com/2007/03/08/expectations/trackback/

  1. In that article you link to, it says Dan Gadzuric (sp??) will thank Ben Braun. If I understand things correctly, Gadzuric would still be in high school at that point. I remember him at games in 2002. Why do you think that Gadzy would thank Braun. How confusing!

    Comment by TwistNHook — March 8, 2007 @ 4:02 pm

  2. Apparently, at the time, Dan Gadzuric was a potential Cal recruit. I guess he must have decided Steve Lavin was a better coach or something.

    Comment by ragnarok — March 8, 2007 @ 5:12 pm

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2008 Cal Baseball Schedule

    02/22 W 5-1 vs. Kansas State
    02/23 W 12-1 vs. Utah Valley State
    02/23 T 8-8 vs. Utah Valley State
    02/24 Rained Out vs. Kansas State
    02/28 W 14-4 vs. Fresno State
    02/29 L 5-7 vs. Missouri
    03/01 W 5-3 vs. San Diego State
    03/02 W 5-0 @ San Diego
    03/04 W 8-3 vs. Stanford
    03/07 W 11-3 vs. Northern Iowa
    03/08 W 4-1 @ Minnesota
    03/09 W 12-2 vs. New Mexico
    03/11 W 6-2 vs. San Francisco
    03/14 W 10-4 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/15 W 21-9 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/15 L 2-6 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/16 W 6-1 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/18 L 6-12 vs. Sacramento State
    03/20 W 9-1 @ Washington State
    03/21 W 7-4 @ Washington State
    03/22 L 4-5 @ Washington State
    03/25 L 5-7 @ Santa Clara
    03/28 W 6-1 vs. Long Beach State
    03/29 W 10-6 vs. Long Beach State
    03/30 W 4-3 vs. Long Beach State
    04/01 L 1-5 @ San Francisco
    04/02 W 5-4 vs. Fresno State
    04/04 W 5-2 vs. Oregon State
    04/05 W 9-3 vs. Oregon State
    04/06 L 2-9 vs. Oregon State
    04/07 T 5-5 vs. Stanford
    04/09 W 16-8 vs. Santa Clara
    04/11 L 1-17 @ USC
    04/12 L 5-11 @ USC
    04/13 W 13-11 @ USC
    04/15 W 14-1 @ Pacific
    04/18 W 10-5 vs. Washington
    04/19 L 4-7 vs. Washington
    04/20 W 5-4 vs. Washington
    04/22 W 10-8 vs. Cal Poly
    04/25 L 7-11 @ Arizona State
    04/26 L 7-11 @ Arizona State
    04/27 L 2-18 @ Arizona State
    04/30 L 2-8 @ Cal Poly
    05/02 W 11-5 vs. Arizona
    05/03 W 6-5 vs. Arizona
    05/04 L 5-16 vs. Arizona
    05/06 W 13-4 vs. UC Davis
    05/09 W 4-3 @ Stanford
    05/10 W 5-2 @ Stanford
    05/11 L 5-8 @ Stanford
    05/13 L 5-9 @ UC Davis
    05/23 vs. UCLA
    05/24 vs. UCLA
    05/25 vs. UCLA

2008 Cal Football Schedule

    08/30 vs. Michigan State
    09/06 @ Washington State
    09/13 @ Maryland
    09/20 BYE WEEK
    09/27 vs. Colorado State
    10/04 vs. Arizona State
    10/11 BYE WEEK
    10/18 @ Arizona
    10/25 vs. UCLA
    11/01 vs. Oregon
    11/08 @ USC
    11/15 @ Oregon State
    11/22 vs. Stanford
    11/29 BYE WEEK
    12/06 vs. Washington

2007-08 Cal Men's BB Schedule

    11/08 W 100-42 vs. Alaska (exhib.)
    11/14 W 67-59 vs. Southern Miss
    11/19 W 74-62 vs. Nicholls State
    11/24 W 77-69 vs. San Diego State
    11/28 W 74-68 @ Nevada
    12/01 W 86-72 vs. Missouri
    12/05 W 117-74 vs. Jackson State
    12/09 L 75-82 @ Kansas State
    12/20 W 74-57 vs. Delaware State
    12/22 L 65-67 vs. Utah
    12/28 W 102-65 vs. Long Beach St.
    12/29 W 86-72 vs. North Dakota St.
    01/03 W 92-82 vs. USC
    01/05 L 58-70 vs. UCLA
    01/10 L 70-79 @ Oregon
    01/12 W 69-59 @ Oregon State
    01/17 L 90-99 vs. Arizona State
    01/19 L 75-79 vs. Arizona
    01/26 L 77-82 vs. Stanford
    01/31 W 69-64 @ Washington State
    02/02 W 79-75 @ Washington
    02/07 W 81-76 vs. Oregon State
    02/09 L 70-92 vs. Oregon
    02/14 L 73-83 @ Arizona
    02/16 W 76-73 @ Arizona State
    02/24 L 69-79 @ Stanford
    02/28 L 49-70 vs. Washington State
    03/01 L 84-87 vs. Washington
    03/06 L 89-93 @ USC
    03/08 L 80-81 @ UCLA
    03/12 W 84-81 vs. Washington
    03/13 L 66-88 vs. UCLA
    03/19 W 68-66 vs. New Mexico
    03/24 L 56-73 @ Ohio State

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