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Defections and Attrition

Part II : Ben Ball Is Boring 

There’s a theory about college athletics, often posed by academians who are embarassed by their school’s athletic program but rarely (if ever) put into practice, that if a coach runs a clean program the ‘right way’, teaching young men to become adults through the values of teamwork and personal accountability, without losing too many games, that perhaps that’s enough.  Perhaps such a program fulfills the mission of the universtiy, and that if such a coach is fired, it demonstrates that all we care about is winning, and that the whole idea of a ’student-athlete’ is a sham.  Perhaps.

However, if you want to apply this theory to Ben Braun (and a high-minded academic university such as Cal is more likely to try), you still have a big hole you have to cover up, and that’s his graduation rate.  Other than David Paris, I can’t recall any Cal Basketball players having trouble with grades, and I think we can all stomach a few athletes turning pro early instead than graduating; would you have counselled Bill Gates to stay in school rather than drop out and start Microsoft?  Rather, it’s the transfer rate that’s staggering.  Of the 26 scholarship athletes recruited by Ben Braun between 1997 and 2003, just 12 received a sendoff on Senior Day.  It’s hard to justify that you’re fulfilling the mission of the University when you’re not graduating players; moreover, with such a rate of attrition, it’s hard to win basketball games.

Every one of Braun’s recruiting classes from 1999-2004 (except 2000) had at least one player transfer to another university, and ‘00 class had Saulius Kuzminskas, who returned to Lithuania after one year, and Gabriel Hughes, who was released to transfer but decided to come back.  During these same years, 2 players left early for the NBA, 2 players had career-ending injuries, and 2 players never even enrolled at Cal.  This kind of attrition is a real black mark on Braun’s program, and it makes it difficult to sustain any kind of momentum.  It’s no coincidence that once Shipp and Wethers graduated in 2002, the program began backsliding, as the defections became too much to overcome.

Here, then, is the list of Braun’s recruiting classes:

1997
Sean Lampley

1998
Carl Boyd
Solomon Hughes
Dennis Gates
Shahar Gordon - Returned to Israel (Military Obligation)
Donte Smith

1999
Shantay Legans - Transfer to Fresno State
Joe Shipp
Nick Vander Laan - Transfer to Virginia
Brian Wethers

2000
Gabriel Hughes - Was released to transfer, came back
Saulius Kuzminskas - Returned to Lithuania
Michael Lawson - Never Played

2001
Erik Bond - Transfer to St. Mary’s
Jamal Sampson - NBA
Julian Sensley - Never Enrolled
Amit Tamir

2002
Rod Benson
Richard Midgley
David Paris - Transfer
Jordi Vilardell - Injury ended career
Kennedy Winston - Never Enrolled

2003
Marquise Kately - Transfer to Morgan State
Dominic McGuire - Transfer to Fresno State
Leon Powe - NBA
Ayinde Ubaka

2004
DeVon Hardin
Kevin Langford - Transfer to Texas Christian
Sam Rayburn - Injury ended career
Eric Vierneisel

2005
Nikola Knezevic
Theo Robertson
Jordan Wilkes

2006
Ryan Anderson
Patrick Christopher
Taylor Harrison
Jerome Randle

2007
Omondi Amoke
Harper Kamp

Walk-ons who earned a scholarship
Ryan Forehan-Kelly
Robbie Jones
Morgan Lingle
A.J. Diggs
Conor Famulener
Alex Pribble

One good thing that you can say about Braun is that he’s good at turning walk-ons into useful role players.  However, while this has helped diminish the cost of all the defections and attrition, it has only been necessary because of such defections.  Does Alex Pribble get a scholarship if Kately and McGuire are still around?  Probably not.

Most of the individual losses are explainable in reasonable, rational terms (although I still can’t figure out why Shantay Legans left before his senior year, and I’m not sure we’ll ever find out what went wrong with Marquise Kately).  Kennedy Winston wanted to stay near his suddenly very ill mother in Alabama.  Julian Sensley never qualified to enroll at Cal.  Some, such as Nick Vander Laan and Erik Bond may have wanted to go somewhere that they could be more than role players.  Powe and Sampson left early for the NBA.  Saulius Kuzminskas and Kevin Langford were probably just homesick.  It’s not the individual reasons; it’s the collective sense that Braun can’t keep players from jumping ship.

Many of these losses obviously cannot be blamed on Braun.  Still, at some point, you have to pin the ‘revolving door’ effect on the coach.  Part of the responsibility of recruiting is not just finding the best athletes and convincing them to come to Cal, but also finding the right athletes.  Athletes who want to come to Cal, whose personalities mesh with the coaches and the other players, and who can handle the academic rigors of the University.  It’s difficult, yes, but that’s why he makes the big bucks.  I can be an apologist for a lot of the things that have ailed the Cal basketball program, but not for this.  This one’s on you, Ben.

The silver lining in the above list is that the two most recent classes are still completely intact, and next year’s senior class has suffered only one non-injury loss (so far).  In fact, with Omar Wilkes and Jamal Boykin, next year’s team will be the first since Braun’s early days of post-Bozeman cleanup that more players will have transfered in that transfered out.  Maybe Braun is finally figuring these things out.  For his sake, I hope so.

Part IV : Expectations 

POSTED BY ragnarok ON 03.06.07 @ 4:17 pm |

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2008 Cal Baseball Schedule

    02/22 W 5-1 vs. Kansas State
    02/23 W 12-1 vs. Utah Valley State
    02/23 T 8-8 vs. Utah Valley State
    02/24 Rained Out vs. Kansas State
    02/28 W 14-4 vs. Fresno State
    02/29 L 5-7 vs. Missouri
    03/01 W 5-3 vs. San Diego State
    03/02 W 5-0 @ San Diego
    03/04 W 8-3 vs. Stanford
    03/07 W 11-3 vs. Northern Iowa
    03/08 W 4-1 @ Minnesota
    03/09 W 12-2 vs. New Mexico
    03/11 W 6-2 vs. San Francisco
    03/14 W 10-4 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/15 W 21-9 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/15 L 2-6 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/16 W 6-1 vs. Loyola Marymount
    03/18 L 6-12 vs. Sacramento State
    03/20 W 9-1 @ Washington State
    03/21 W 7-4 @ Washington State
    03/22 L 4-5 @ Washington State
    03/25 L 5-7 @ Santa Clara
    03/28 W 6-1 vs. Long Beach State
    03/29 W 10-6 vs. Long Beach State
    03/30 W 4-3 vs. Long Beach State
    04/01 L 1-5 @ San Francisco
    04/02 W 5-4 vs. Fresno State
    04/04 W 5-2 vs. Oregon State
    04/05 W 9-3 vs. Oregon State
    04/06 L 2-9 vs. Oregon State
    04/07 T 5-5 vs. Stanford
    04/09 W 16-8 vs. Santa Clara
    04/11 L 1-17 @ USC
    04/12 L 5-11 @ USC
    04/13 W 13-11 @ USC
    04/15 W 14-1 @ Pacific
    04/18 W 10-5 vs. Washington
    04/19 L 4-7 vs. Washington
    04/20 W 5-4 vs. Washington
    04/22 W 10-8 vs. Cal Poly
    04/25 L 7-11 @ Arizona State
    04/26 L 7-11 @ Arizona State
    04/27 L 2-18 @ Arizona State
    04/30 L 2-8 @ Cal Poly
    05/02 W 11-5 vs. Arizona
    05/03 W 6-5 vs. Arizona
    05/04 L 5-16 vs. Arizona
    05/06 W 13-4 vs. UC Davis
    05/09 W 4-3 @ Stanford
    05/10 W 5-2 @ Stanford
    05/11 L 5-8 @ Stanford
    05/13 L 5-9 @ UC Davis
    05/23 vs. UCLA
    05/24 vs. UCLA
    05/25 vs. UCLA

2008 Cal Football Schedule

    08/30 vs. Michigan State
    09/06 @ Washington State
    09/13 @ Maryland
    09/20 BYE WEEK
    09/27 vs. Colorado State
    10/04 vs. Arizona State
    10/11 BYE WEEK
    10/18 @ Arizona
    10/25 vs. UCLA
    11/01 vs. Oregon
    11/08 @ USC
    11/15 @ Oregon State
    11/22 vs. Stanford
    11/29 BYE WEEK
    12/06 vs. Washington

2007-08 Cal Men's BB Schedule

    11/08 W 100-42 vs. Alaska (exhib.)
    11/14 W 67-59 vs. Southern Miss
    11/19 W 74-62 vs. Nicholls State
    11/24 W 77-69 vs. San Diego State
    11/28 W 74-68 @ Nevada
    12/01 W 86-72 vs. Missouri
    12/05 W 117-74 vs. Jackson State
    12/09 L 75-82 @ Kansas State
    12/20 W 74-57 vs. Delaware State
    12/22 L 65-67 vs. Utah
    12/28 W 102-65 vs. Long Beach St.
    12/29 W 86-72 vs. North Dakota St.
    01/03 W 92-82 vs. USC
    01/05 L 58-70 vs. UCLA
    01/10 L 70-79 @ Oregon
    01/12 W 69-59 @ Oregon State
    01/17 L 90-99 vs. Arizona State
    01/19 L 75-79 vs. Arizona
    01/26 L 77-82 vs. Stanford
    01/31 W 69-64 @ Washington State
    02/02 W 79-75 @ Washington
    02/07 W 81-76 vs. Oregon State
    02/09 L 70-92 vs. Oregon
    02/14 L 73-83 @ Arizona
    02/16 W 76-73 @ Arizona State
    02/24 L 69-79 @ Stanford
    02/28 L 49-70 vs. Washington State
    03/01 L 84-87 vs. Washington
    03/06 L 89-93 @ USC
    03/08 L 80-81 @ UCLA
    03/12 W 84-81 vs. Washington
    03/13 L 66-88 vs. UCLA
    03/19 W 68-66 vs. New Mexico
    03/24 L 56-73 @ Ohio State

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